In this chapter, you will learn –
The Commodity Channel Index (CCI) is recognized as an essential oscillator indicator in the trading world. It plays a significant role in identifying when an asset is overbought – meaning it is bought too much, or oversold – meaning it is sold too much. This indication is crucial for traders as it provides a clear signal about the saturation points of an asset in the market.
Additionally, the CCI helps in pinpointing the peaks and troughs in an asset’s price.
These peaks and troughs are vital indicators, as they can reveal the weakening of an ongoing trend or signal the end of a trend, paving the way for a potential change in the market’s direction. This aspect of the CCI is particularly useful for traders looking to understand the momentum and trend reversals in the market.
Leveraging the information provided by the CCI, you are empowered to make strategic trading decisions.
The representation of the CCI indicator on charts is done using a line akin to a moving average, which aids in smoothing and simplifying the complex market data for better analysis.
The calculation of the CCI generates a value that predominantly stays within a defined channel, typically ranging between +100 and -100, as can be observed in the chart.
In the displayed image, you’ll notice the price crossing over the +100 mark on the CCI indicator. This movement signifies that the asset is potentially overbought. As the price then crosses back below this threshold, it’s an indication where selling could be considered.
The key points in the image to observe are:
The default setting for the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) indicator is set at 14. This means the CCI compares the recent price changes of an asset against the average price changes over 14 distinct time periods. However, this setting is adjustable and can be modified according to individual trading strategies and preferences.
Opting for a setting lower than 14 on the CCI makes the indicator more sensitive.
It results in the average line oscillating between the +100 and -100 levels more frequently, indicating quicker reactions to price changes but also not staying within either the overbought or oversold cycle for extended periods. To illustrate the impact of different settings on the CCI, consider the next two images.
The first image above showcases a CCI with a setting of 4, significantly lower than the standard 14. Observe the frequency with which the average line crosses above and below the +100 and -100 thresholds.
In contrast, the following image displays a CCI set at a much higher value compared to the standard 14.
Here, you can see that the average line rarely moves beyond the key +100 and -100 levels and, when it does, tends to remain there for a longer duration.
It’s important to consider the implications of adjusting the CCI settings.
Lower CCI Settings:
Higher CCI Settings:
Setting the CCI higher means the indicator changes less frequently, which can be advantageous in maintaining positions for a longer duration, thereby reducing the impact of false signals. However, this approach might delay trade entries, potentially leading to smaller profits as the trend may be well established by the time the signal is given.
When modifying the settings of the CCI, it’s crucial to test whether these changes enhance or detract from the effectiveness of your trading strategy. Continuous testing and adjustment ensure that the CCI settings are optimized for your specific trading needs and market conditions.